Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 10.053615 11.179213 12.390613 13.793198 15.374808 17.105790 19.147389
2025-07-20 8.583781 10.154769 11.965414 14.214550 16.944419 20.164162 24.269554
2025-07-27 7.368648 9.199858 11.440925 14.404133 18.247023 23.099871 29.751627
2025-08-03 6.282078 8.224027 10.730225 14.234787 19.061267 25.550945 35.066857
2025-08-10 5.409856 7.387801 10.064855 14.003145 19.734044 27.901463 40.661217
2025-08-17 4.712331 6.684090 9.469878 13.762158 20.333200 30.219337 46.615839
2025-08-24 4.170574 6.123552 8.993353 13.608004 21.014576 32.740904 53.329760
2025-08-31 3.747129 5.679448 8.623841 13.550678 21.817715 35.555648 61.032939
2025-09-07 3.471654 5.424302 8.505230 13.863107 23.252234 39.617410 71.668145
2025-09-14 3.154745 5.063562 8.170097 13.762212 23.953324 42.505056 80.708235
2025-09-21 2.847710 4.682959 7.754658 13.460644 24.239773 44.666282 88.749052
2025-09-28 2.604247 4.382115 7.438097 13.288166 24.728596 47.269988 98.202788
2025-10-05 2.469731 4.260444 7.428888 13.697002 26.431099 52.630696 114.956354
2025-10-12 2.347061 4.146491 7.420200 14.106010 28.202777 58.465829 134.234474
2025-10-19 2.206795 3.985152 7.304734 14.287749 29.531946 63.597266 153.142645
2025-10-26 2.039644 3.755963 7.034134 14.115758 30.068808 67.044172 168.690973
2025-11-02 1.884027 3.533480 6.752621 13.883499 30.434396 70.159187 184.188132
2025-11-09 1.743950 3.327991 6.483480 13.642959 30.743640 73.197645 200.306516
2025-11-16 1.626327 3.156385 6.265932 13.489058 31.236666 76.798561 219.091420
2025-11-23 1.528620 3.016346 6.099982 13.431459 31.958989 81.145286 241.439378
2025-11-30 1.470329 2.952902 6.091029 13.740248 33.665115 88.519712 275.810714
2025-12-07 1.384174 2.822185 5.921383 13.639960 34.281095 92.941991 301.624519
2025-12-14 1.290717 2.667511 5.683241 13.341113 34.313804 95.668559 322.327902